Atlanta Falcons
O/U Total Wins: 4.5
This team is a lot better than people think. Marcus Mariota is a slightly better version of Jalen Hurts in my opinion. He's just as accurate, just as fast, and also has more experience than Hurts. The offense also has more weapons than people think.
Yes, I understand that they aren't very deep. However, London and Edwards are extremely talented and big targets, as well as Pitts and Patterson of course. There's actually some solid talent in the backfield as well with Damien Williams and rookie Tyler Allgeier.
Quick Offensive Summary:
Four solid targets in the passing game, a deep backfield mixed with one of the most athletic QBs in the entire league.
Although their defense will probably finish in the bottom half of the league, I believe that their offense will keep them in a lot of games in 2022.
Schedule Outlook
Atlanta should be pretty excited about their schedule.
They could start the season with a record of 2-2 as a floor, with a high chance of being 3-1 out of the gate. The only "sure-loss" they have is @ Rams. At home against the Saints, as well as playing two bottom 5 teams is the best four-game start you could ask for.
Then they hit a tough three game stretch starting in week 5 where they might have a hard time finding a win against the Bucs, 49ers and Bengals.
After starting either 2-5 or 3-4, 5 of their next 6 games look favorable. Assuming they lose to the Chargers and split with the Panthers, they could go 4-2 or 3-3 in that span.
Through these 13 games, I have the Falcons with a floor of 5-8 and a ceiling of 7-6... already hitting the OVER of 4.5!
They finish with 4 tough games to end the season. Realistically, they’ll go 1-3 to finish, but 0-4 or even 2-2 isn’t out of the question. Either way, they already comfortably hit the OVER after 13 games.
Floor: 5-12
Ceiling: 9-8
BET THE OVER OF 4.5